Sunday Service Play Thread 07/11/2021 -

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Mad George

Play Rating: E units
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -4.0 (-110)
The Bucks are going back home with their back against the wall. Phoenix hit 20-of-40 3s in game 2 and won the game by 10. I expect Holiday and Middleton to show up and Milwaukee to take game 3 at home. Take the Bucks'

 

[BuzzKill]

Larry Hartstein

PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE | 07/11 | 8:00 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -4
ANALYSIS: Early money has come in on the Bucks and I agree with it. They already have overcome a 2-0 series deficit in the playoffs, against Brooklyn, so the belief is there. Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday aren't going to combine for 12-of-37 shooting in Milwaukee, like they did in Game 2 in Phoenix. After two full days of rest, they'll bounce back in front of their raucous fans and give Giannis Antetokounmpo the help he needs. Look for Milwaukee, with its season on the line, to dominate inside and try to get DeAndre Ayton in foul trouble. The Suns are thin inside with Dario Saric and Torrey Craig injured. Phoenix will win the series, but this should be the Bucks' night.

 

[BuzzKill]

Ben Burns

I☆ Bucks/Suns under 222
J☆ Milwaukee Bucks -4
Euro 2020 - Italy +.5 -130

 

[BuzzKill]

Jeff Hochman

PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE | 07/11 | 8:00 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -4
ANALYSIS: The Bucks return home after allowing 118 points in both games at Phoenix. The Bucks are 3-0 straight-up in Game 3s this postseason. Role players perform better at home, and I expect the Bucks to play much better defense after reviewing the tape. The Bucks are 10-5 straight-up when playing with two days of rest while the Suns are 5-3 straight-up. Milwaukee has more experience playing with two days off. The Bucks are 33-11 straight-up at home. Take the hungry host.

 

[BuzzKill]

Elite Sports Picks

Atlanta (Anderson) -115 over Miami (Lopez)

 

[BuzzKill]

Insider Sports Report
D* Oakland (Bassitt) -150 over Texas (Allard)
Range: -130 to -170
C* Milwaukee -4 over Phoenix (NBA)
Range: -2 to -6

National Sports Service
E* Detroit (Peralta)/Minnesota (Berrios) UNDER 9
C* Phoenix/Milwaukee UNDER 222 (NBA)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Oakland (Bassitt) -150 over Texas (Allard)
C Unit --> Phoenix/Milwaukee OVER 222 (NBA)

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Detroit (Peralta)/Minnesota (Berrios) UNDER 9
C★ Phoenix +4 over Milwaukee (NBA)

 

[BuzzKill]

XS Sports

NBA
Phoenix Suns +4.5 -104

MLB:
E* Chicago WS -1.5 -119
C* St Louis -110
C* Detroit +1.5 +100

 

[Scottrick]

steve merril nba bucks - 4 ,any zach crimini or burns bases when up please post ,ill send merril mlb at noon .good luck sunday

 

[BuzzKill]

Ben Burns

I☆ Bucks/Suns under 222
J☆ Milwaukee Bucks -4
Euro 2020 - Italy +.5 -130

J* astros-140

Euro 2020 - Italy +.5 -130 writeup:
I'm playing on ITALY at 0.25 goals. Needless to say, this is an epic matchup. Italy has long been a soccer superpower. England has always had the talent but has historically, at least in my lifetime, come up short. While history won't have anything to with Sunday's match, I do think that England may be feeling some added pressure. One could argue that both teams had a "relatively" easy path to get here. That said, Italy defeated both Belgium and Spain. Both those teams are ranked far higher than Germany and Denmark, the two best teams which England defeated. Many North American bettors are unfamiliar with a line of +0.25 (+1/4) goals. Basically, when playing at 1/4, one is splitting the bet into two separate smaller wagers. One is at pk and the other is at +1/2 goals. While I do expect Italy to find a way to win, its possible that the deciding blow won't come until after 90 minutes. Both defenses have been stout. While Kane has found his form for England, I feel that Italy has more players capable of finding the back of the net. Don't be surprised when the Italians break the hearts of the English fans. Enjoy the game and good luck.

 

[BuzzKill]

Mike Barner

PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE | 07/11 | 8:00 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -4
ANALYSIS: This basically is a must-win game for the Bucks, who return to Milwaukee down 0-2. Giannis Antetokounmpo was stellar in Game 2, but cold shooting efforts from Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday were too much to overcome. Over its last five home playoff games, Milwaukee is 4-1, with all four wins coming by at least 11 points. Expect the home crowd to help the Bucks post a decisive win and get themselves back in the series.

 

[sailfish]

Dave Cokin

D% Cincinnati Reds 1H (+130) - Castillo must start

D% at +120 or better. 3% if lower

 

[sailfish]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
1:10 PM EST
Rotation #917
Blue Jays -120 over Rays
Ray/Hill

 

[BuzzKill]

Kevin Dolan

% EURO FINAL: ITALY VS. ENGLAND
Game: (234125) England at (234126) Italy
Date/Time: Jul 11 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: E%
Play: England - To Lift the Trophy (-120)
We're taking England to win the European Championship and lift the trophy on Sunday against Italy over in Wembley.
Breakdown
England are in their first major final in well over half a century, and with a capacity crowd in attendance inside Wembley in the heart of London, the atmosphere for this game should be absolutely electric.
And it's really been a tale of two teams to get here right now. Despite being one of the favorites early on in the competition, England opened the campaign poorly, drawing against Scotland and eeking out narrow wins against Croatia and the Czech Republic respectively. That put a lot of pressure on their Round of 16 matchup against perennial heavyweights Germany, a team England have notoriously struggled against in the past. But this English team are absolutely stacked deep with world class level talent, and while it took a while for that opening goal to come, when it did, and England took command of the game, they simply haven't looked back since and seem to have gotten stronger as the tournament has progressed.
A 4-0 thrashing of Ukraine in the quarter-final was followed by a spirited Denmark performance in which the Danes scored an early goal, England's first conceded goal of the tournament, and put England in a place where they were yet to find themselves, namely chasing a game. England showed tremendous character in that semi-final, equalizing just 9 minutes later showing that this isn't the same English team of old who simply fold under pressure and who have the ability to force their way back into games.
Italy meanwhile have gone in the reverse direction. After blitzing their way through the group stage with maximum points and the highest goal difference out of any group stage winner, they really struggled against a fairly mediocre Austrian side in the round of 16 and were fortunate to survive after Arnautovic's goal was ruled just offside before Italy took the game in extra-time. They've since followed that up with a great first half performance against Belgium, before being pegged back in the 2nd half and got absolutely dominated by Spain for large stretches in Tuesday's semi-final in what was their 2nd poor performance inside the English capital.
Despite Italy's stellar run on defense leading up to the tournament and in the group stage, since facing higher caliber opponents in the knockout rounds, they've failed to keep a clean sheet, conceding in all three games. More than this, Italy have also given up over 10 shots each per game to Austria, Belgium and Spain respectively, so expect an English team absolutely loaded with offensive talent to have as much, if not more success in attack than those sides did.
Spain showed with Dani Olmo and Pedri that Italy are susceptible down the wings to players with pace and that's something this English team has in abundance. Sterling, Shaw, Walker, Mount, Foden, Grealish, Sancho, Saka.. the list goes on as to players who have the ability to get down those wings and cause a ton of problems for Italy in and around that 18 yard box where Harry Kane, aiming to break Gary Lineker's major tournament goals record, will no doubt be waiting.
The biggest problem for England here is history. If they can overcome the pressure of the occasion and the weight of expectation and history, they have more than enough talent to win this game and I fully expect them to lift this trophy on Sunday because of that gulf in attacking threat that they possess. Italy no doubt have world class playmakers in the likes of Jorginho and Chiesa, but England have more of them, and I see the English coming out on top as a result on Sunday.
Take England to lift the trophy on Sunday in front of a packed crowd in Wembley.
PLAY: ENGLAND - TO LIFT THE TROPHY -120
*Line good to -140, -141 to -155 (4%), -156 to -170 > (3%), -171 > (2%)

 

[BuzzKill]

Andy Lang NAScar

NASCAR Prop
Game: NASCAR Prop
Date/Time: Jul 11 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: E%
Play: Winning Manufacturer: Chevrolet
The Hendricks team has been on a tear in NASCAR, and they drive Chevrolet's and I expect one of them to end up in victory lane. I'll take Chevy as the manufacturer instead of Team Hendricks prop because the odds differ from book to book, and there are a couple of other drivers in Chevy's that have an outside shot of winning. Chevy has won 8 out of the last 9 races and the race they did not win was the second race at Pocono where everyone ran out of fuel at the end letting Kyle Busch limp his car around to the win despite it being stuck in 4th gear. But a Chevy was leading with 2 laps to go and a Chevy finished 2nd, so they dominated. They have won on all different types of tracks (road course, small, big, triangle, oval), and when a team or manufacturer gets in the groove like this, we just ride them. Track history suggests Ford runs well here, and they have but Chevy and Hendricks have separated themselves this year, and even with a Ford winning last years race at Atlanta, two Chevy's finished 2nd and 3rd. Chevy's have won 11 out of 18 non restrictor plate races this year, and at a track like Atlanta with few cautions and uncertainty, this play gets a 5% ranking from me.

 

[BuzzKill]

Docs

Indian Cowboy- Italy/England O2 +105 (3U)
Tony George- Kurt Busch/Bell -125 (4U)
Tony George- Kyle Busch Top 3 +185 (3U)
Spreitzer- Kyle Busch/Treux -105 (5U)
Spreitzer- Italy +200 (6U)
East_man- Rays +105 (7U)
Upstone- Oakland -130 (2U)
Docs- Italy TO LIFT TROPHY +105 (5U)
Croy- Blue Jays -120 (5U)

 

[BuzzKill]

Master Sports

NBA
C* #505 Phoenix +4.5

 

[MikeJoe206]

Greg Shaker TRIPLE DIME MLB GAME OF THE MONTH

Dodgers RunLine

Bonus Rockies/Padres UNDER

 

[MikeJoe206]

Dave Essler MLB Triple Dime Max Total

Phillies/RedSox OVER

Bonus Plays
Rangers ML
Suns/Bucks UNDER

 

[MikeJoe206]

Andre Gomes

Bucks
Marlins
Braves/Marlins UNDER
Jays